Conf = Big East
Nickname = CO Pioneers Coach = Matt BrownGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 95.6803665 home-field advantage = -0.69 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 203 A Johns Hopkins B1G (11- 5, 96.3) 13-12 210 H Air Force ASUN ( 9- 6, 89.1) 11- 9 217 A Utah ASUN (12- 5, 91.6) 16- 8 224 H Cornell Ivy ( 9- 5, 95.4) 17-16 302 H Le Moyne D1 Independen ( 3- 8, 86.1) 15- 6 310 H Yale Ivy (11- 4, 95.2) 13-15 317 A Ohio State B1G ( 6- 9, 93.5) 9- 6 324 N Duke ACC (13- 6, 97.0) 7-11 330 A Villanova Big East ( 9- 7, 93.2) 9- 6 405 H St Johns (NY) Big East ( 4-11, 87.2) 18- 8 413 H Georgetown Big East (13- 4, 95.8) 10- 8 420 A Providence Big East ( 7- 8, 91.5) 7- 4 426 H Marquette Big East ( 4-10, 89.1) 15- 9 502 A Villanova Big East ( 9- 7, 93.2) 9-10 511 H Michigan B1G (10- 7, 94.7) 18-11 519 N Syracuse ACC (12- 6, 96.7) 10- 8 525 N Notre Dame ACC (16- 1, 99.9) 6-13
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 203 A Johns Hopkins 13-12 1 -1 + 2.33 210 H Air Force 11- 9 2 7 -- -5.00 217 A Utah 16- 8 8 3 + 3.62 224 H Cornell 17-16 1 0 0.04 302 H Le Moyne 15- 6 9 10 0.00 310 H Yale 13-15 -2 1 - -3.14 317 A Ohio State 9- 6 3 1 1.48 324 N Duke 7-11 -4 -1 - -2.64 330 A Villanova 9- 6 3 1 1.24 405 H St Johns (NY) 18- 8 10 9 0.00 413 H Georgetown 10- 8 2 0 1.42 420 A Providence 7- 4 3 3 -0.50 426 H Marquette 15- 9 6 7 -1.00 502 A Villanova 9-10 -1 1 - -2.76 511 H Michigan 18-11 7 1 ++ 5.28 519 N Syracuse 10- 8 2 0 + 2.99 525 N Notre Dame 6-13 -7 -4 - -2.79UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 210 H Air Force 11- 9 2 7 -- -5.00 310 H Yale 13-15 -2 1 - -3.14 324 N Duke 7-11 -4 -1 - -2.64 502 A Villanova 9-10 -1 1 - -2.76 525 N Notre Dame 6-13 -7 -4 - -2.79OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 511 H Michigan 18-11 7 1 ++ 5.28 203 A Johns Hopkins 13-12 1 -1 + 2.33 217 A Utah 16- 8 8 3 + 3.62 519 N Syracuse 10- 8 2 0 + 2.99
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 95.69 Power Rank................. 10 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 84.26 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 11 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .6716 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 8 RPI Rating............... .6332 RPI Rank................... 7 Champ. Probability ...... 3.0 Championship Rank ......... 11 Selection sum ........... 18 Selection Rank ............ 5 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... 100. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 3 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... 95. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 3 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 11.9 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 9.4 Wins/Losses(all )...... 13- 4 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 2.5 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... 2.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 2.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -0.3 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 0.7